I caught a glimpse of an interesting Comcast Sports Net survey yesterday…“Is Dustin Pedroia the greatest Red Sox second baseman ever?”
My immediate reaction was no – especially since he’s only in his second full major league season… but I crunched the numbers and if he keeps this pace for at least 5 years, Pedroia the Destroyah will be right there with the likes of Bobby Doerr and Jerrry Remy. Here’s a look at Pedroia’s stats:
2007 stats
520 AB - .317 BA - 86 R - 39 2B - 8 HR - 230 TB - 50 RBI - 7 SB
Guestimated 2008 stats
580 AB - .320 BA - 103 R - 45 2B - 12 HR - 270 TB - 65 RBI - 14 SB
Now here’s a look at Pedroia’s “guestimated” 5-year and 10-year averages - let’s assume he bats between .290 and .310 over the next 10 years…
5 years
2750 AB - .300 BA - 472 R - 210 2B - 50 HR - 1250 TB - 288 RBI - 52 SB
10 years
5500 AB - .300 BA - 945 R - 420 2B - 100 HR - 2500 TB - 575 RBI, 105 SB
Now let’s compare Pedey’s 10-year numbers to Bobby Doerr (37-51), Bill Goodman (47-57) and Jerry Remy (78-84)
Pedroia: 5500 AB - .300 BA - 945 R - 420 2B - 100 HR - 2500 TB - 575 RBI - 105 SB
Doerr: 7093 AB - .288 BA - 1094 R - 381 2B - 223 HR - 3270 TB - 1247 RBI - 54 SB
Goodman: 4383 AB - .295 BA - 687 R - 247 2B - 14 HR - 1700 TB - 464 RBI - 33 SB
Remy: 2809 AB - .275 BA - 385 R - 90 2B - 7 HR - 1463 TB - 329 RBI - 208 SB
Doerr stats are incredible. He hit for average and power, while swiping over 50 bags in his career… Goodman was solid and also played 1B, 3B and OF, while Pedroia is likely a 2B for life… Remy’s numbers and Pedey’s 5-year stats give you a better comparison – Pedroia has more pop (50 HR vs 7 HR) but Remy’s game was all about speed (32 SBs / year over 6.5 years in Boston) and he probably bunted ten times as often as Pedroia will in his career.
Bottom Line: My vote has to go to Doerr... for now… he was a 9-time All-Star and drove in 100+ runs in a season six times… as a second baseman!
But keep in mind that Pedroia’s guestimated stats are simply averages of his first two seasons… He’s turns 25 on Sunday and could easily get better over the next five years… and if the Red Sox offense stays as high-powered as it has been since 2007, the Destroyah could give Doerr a run for his money.
Cast your vote over on the right-hand side... and spread the word!
2 comments:
What no Mark Bellhorn??? JK I vote for Bobby D.
who ever voted for dustin as the sox greatest 2nd basemen ever is an idiot and should have their voting rights taken away because they obviously know nothing about baseball...bobby doerr is in the hall of fame, dustin is in his 2nd full year - - - um their is no comparison. in 5/10 years down the road maybe, but for now its not even worth talking about.
fyi - doerr is the oldest living former player who is in the hof.
Post a Comment